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Brian Kennedy - WWW.IHMGroup.Net

Panic grips the country as all leading economic indicators...

By: Brian Kennedy
Monday, April 30, 2007 11:05 AM

Fourth phone call today from someone in foreclosure that wants to list.
Faxed over the listing paperwork....
Referred them to a mortgage broker who specializes in foreclosure for review and guidance...
Referred them to an RE Attorney that can help temporarily stave off the inevitbale...

But I am left wondering...
When we sat down and signed the mortgage, before I was a Realtor, the mortgage broker was extremely clear that ARM's adjust and they can adjust considerably upward if interest rates climb. Understanding that, we opted to choose a less expensive house so we could always make the mortgage payment regardless of rate adjustments. Two years later rates bottomed out and we financed a 30 at 5.25%.  We are not going anywhere so this suits us well.

I fully understand the American education system has it's defects but when did the general public loose it's capacity to rationalize that HIGHER = MORE and that dreaming of a 10% pay increase every year to pay for rate changes simply isn't practical. When you work a $36,000 job and buy a $400,000 note on a 3/1 ARM at 100%, what about this situation makes you say "Hey this is a great idea!" I see the same thing for people that have nine part-time jobs and drive a Hummer.

When did I miss the memo that brainwashing was IN and that significant efforts were being made to dumb down the public? I cannot believe it's in the water so where did all this head-up-rear syndrome come from? Now I have depressed myself....

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Comments

Gary Morris
Member Since '07

Gary Morris said:

I have seen buyers who were told that their payment could increase because of the type of loan they were getting and they could still not see past then end of their nose.

I have seen quite a few new home builders (vinyl villages) push buyers into homes using their preferred lender and the buyer had no clue as to what was happening, only that they were getting the new home they fell in love with. Fast forward to today, taxes are being assesed on the new construction, ARM's are adjusting, or that interest only payment is now calling for the principle to be added...

Here in Indiana, property taxes are being re-adjusted and the average homeowner will see a 24% increase in their tax bill. But the state is going to send us a rebate check of about 8% of our taxes. ??????

April 30, 2007 10:43 AM
Ron Tarvin
Member Since '04

Ron Tarvin said:

You're not watching enough TV Brian or you would have SEEN the dumb down in progress.  How many nights a week is professional wrestling on now? Desparate Housewives, AMERICAN IDOL that draws more voters than national elections, Swapping wives (meet your new mommy), then look at some of these families on shows like Nanny 911.  The dumbing down effect is all around us.

Our TV is very likely to be on the History Channel, HGTV or Discovery than anywhere (except the kids like Nick and Disney) so we don't watch much of anything on regular tv, although we like HOUSE but I've thought for a long time that television programming was a government plan to pacify the masses...

How much TV do you think Bill Gates watches? Donald Trump? Ted Turner?  

People are NEVER TAUGHT how to handle money...why?  Would it be so bad to TEACH people that we don't BUY that which we can not PAY for and when we DO need to borrow to BUY something, it had better be a house, a reasonable house and one that will not take more than 25% of our take home pay every month.  But that's not the public schools agenda (that lies in getting students the tools to pass these "competency exams")  nor is it the college agenda (which appears to be mostly political in nature).

Wealthiest nation on earth?  Nah, just the most IN DEBT nation on earth...

April 30, 2007 11:10 AM
Todd Clark
Member Since '06

Todd Clark said:

Good points Ron,

How much TV do those people watch. I have a feeling The Donald won't even watch his own show!

April 30, 2007 11:19 AM
Mike Farmer
Member Since '03

Mike Farmer said:

If they got in for 0% down, they had nothing much to lose.

I know, I wouldn't do it, knowing I couldn't afford it later, but many people think they will jump in now and figure it out later. If they had had to plunk down 10% or 20%, they would have made a more serious consideration, maybe.

April 30, 2007 12:07 PM
Brian Kennedy
Member Since '07

Brian Kennedy said:

If that is what America is watching, I am glad I'm not.

I'm with you Ron on viewing choices. Except for guilty pleasure like the Simpsons and Family Guy, I stay as far away from "family network" programming as I can. Mindless drivel...

The Donald...

Just like Jean-Claude Van Dahm, there is the power of a well-oiled marketing machine at it's finest. Has anyone ever noticed that when the market slows down, the mega moguls all go out on tour. I suppose bilking the masses out of a seminar ticket is easier than just saying "Hey, the market is down and I have to eat too."

I have friends that live overseas and it is virtually unheard of to walk around with a balance on your credit card. The culture almost looks at that like it as poor parenting to not pass on good financial money management. Why else is the rest of the world able to buy large chunks of the US and pay for it in cash?

April 30, 2007 12:41 PM
Don O'Wade
Member Since '05

Don O'Wade said:

Well, you all make good points but how many of you worked in the mortgage banking?  I did before crossing over into the real estate side.  There are many and I mean many different programs for people to get involved with to purchase there investments.  There is one problem in the mortgage industry and that is there is NO classes required, final exam, post continuing education and renewal of your license to become a Loan Officer.  As long as you graduated from high school and can pick up the phone and talk numbers you can be a Loan Officer.  When I became a REALTOR I had to go through school all over again and now I have licensing in Virginia and West Virginia, my GRI and ABR Designations - a lot of time in school to get were I am in this career.  What I am trying to say is people need to be educated on MONEY, how to borrow it, how to use it and how to save it.  It were this begins is at home, high school then the universities.  But I think it has failed at home.  Turn the TV off and spend time with your kids and TEACH them and don't rely on some one else.  

April 30, 2007 12:55 PM
Ron Tarvin
Member Since '04

Ron Tarvin said:

Don, you have it right with ONE exception...we must teach our kids but our schools must also play a part.  

Kids DON'T listen to parents!  But if we teach it and it's reinforced in the schools, then yeah, I think they would get it...but heck, who am I kidding,  the schools teach a class called economics and don't even bother to teach kids how to balance a checkbook!

April 30, 2007 1:17 PM
Gregory Bain
Member Since '03

Gregory Bain said:

So what are you guys saying? I should not enroll in the Trump University On-Line Course?

April 30, 2007 1:45 PM
Mark Cohen, Broker
Member Since '03

Mark Cohen, Broker said:

New buyer qualification questions:  

1. Are you dumb?  Yes: I will refer you to another realtor.

                             No:  Prove it.

2. Are you smart?  Yes:  Prove it

                             No: I will refer you to another realtor.  

April 30, 2007 2:06 PM
Brian Kennedy
Member Since '07

Brian Kennedy said:

Mark - I am putting that on my website in the "Contact Me" criteria. LOL

Greg - FOR THE LOVE OF GOD NO! If you are going to willingly hand over your intellect (which I have come to respect), then please just drop on your sword and go out with dignity and honor.

Ron - Teach something practical in school. What are you smokin man?

April 30, 2007 2:28 PM
Rob  Miller
Member Since '06

Rob Miller said:

I have seen on the news that these poor homeowners were talked into something that they didn't understand and it is the lenders fault for not explaining. How hard is it to explain the words ADJUSTABLE RATE,  FIXED RATE FOR 2 YEARS ( ETC). Simple english to me. Adjustable rate telss me that my rate will change (no brainer) and Fixed for X# of years tells me I have a fixed rate for x# of years and that it will change. These re-fi people have a 72 hr right of recission and let alone it takes 2 weeks minimum for the most part to close a loan. I'm sorry, but I just get tired of people putting the blame on everyone else. Granted there probably were some that were lied to, but come on. Ignorance of the law is not justified, it should not be justified here either. I feel people thought the market was going to still go up, dispite everyone and their grandmother said the market was going to top out, and they thought they could cash in and sell their home. It is like the stock market, they just bought at the wrong time. May sound heartless, but too bad. It doesn't take brains to understand ADJUSTABLE RATE MORTGAGE. (Go ahead, bash me now for being insincere). Just my opinion.

April 30, 2007 2:37 PM
Brian Kennedy
Member Since '07

Brian Kennedy said:

Rob - I do not believe you will get bashed for that. I know I share your sentiment and I am not alone. This whole idea that blame for one's poor decisions is (believably) outwardly transferrable is moronic.

It is our job to protect the public. BUT -  how do you protect the public from their own arrogance and unwillingness to understand the very thing that could lead them into financial ruin? No ticket - no washy. No payment - no housey.

April 30, 2007 3:19 PM
Rob  Miller
Member Since '06

Rob Miller said:

My point exactly. My lenders and myself all disclose the facts especially on a type of loan like this. We can only do so much. They see the beautiful house and look at the immediate satisfaction, disregarding the future consiquences.

April 30, 2007 4:01 PM
Howard Arnoff
Member Since '03

Howard Arnoff said:

I think Rob made some very good points. Do you remember the movie, Wall Street, "Greed is good" from a different speculative era? I think there was more careless lending to investors/speculators than to buyers who planned to live in a home that created more of this problem. I truly feel sorry for a home purchaser who didn't understand what he/she signed for and is in financial hot water today but in most cases, it was explained, in many cases, it was chosen to be ignored.

By the way, my wife loves American Idol (which I refer to as stupid TV), I watch the Weather Channel, a few things I can learn something from (like Ron) and selected sports (I was glued to the NFL draft on Saturday and all the subsequent analysis).

April 30, 2007 4:42 PM
Ron Tarvin
Member Since '04

Ron Tarvin said:

Ok, ok, ya got me Howard, I'm an occasional fan of most sports but a football fanatic...I also "watched" the draft on sunday.  Caught parts of it Saturday but was in and out a lot with a new listing I took Friday.  Then on Sunday it was on in the background while I painted the baby's nursery...no rest for the wicked...

April 30, 2007 7:09 PM
Dan Tolman
Member Since '06

Dan Tolman said:

Here is my stock answer to anyone who asks me what I think might happen to real estate prices in the future.

"Real estate has appreciated 5.4% annually "on average" for the past 20 years.  If you expect a greater return than that, it's pure speculation on your part.  And since real estate is a market, like any other commodity, real estate prices may also go down".

Naturally, that's not going to stop someone from buying a 400K house on a 50K salary, no more than it stops someone from leasing a 5-series BMW when their bank account is drier than a ham bone - but at least I sleep well at night.

April 30, 2007 7:35 PM
Howard Arnoff
Member Since '03

Howard Arnoff said:

Ron, I would rather have taken a good listing and sold a home but in lieu of that, I watched the draft.

April 30, 2007 7:37 PM

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